Step 05 of 07 · Prove · free

Pivot or Persist

The market is the only judge that matters. By the Prove stage you have built something — and the question is no longer “is it good?” but “is it working?” That breaks into three fits: does the market want it, can you reach the market, and is the timing right?

Instructions: Work through the three fits — product–market, product–channel, product–time. For each question, mark what you honestly have: proven evidence, an early signal, an untested assumption, or a tested no. The compass reads each fit, then gives you the verdict the stage exists to force — pivot or persist, and if pivot, what to pivot. Save the read as a PDF, and re-run it as the evidence changes.

Already mid-flight? You can run this compass on its own — it doesn't need the earlier stages first. To follow the full sequence, start at Purpose.

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The discipline

Three fits decide whether to pivot or persist.

By the Prove stage the question is not “is the product good?” — it is “is it working?” That breaks into three fits, and all three have to hold. A product the market loves still dies with no way to reach it; a reachable market still dies if the timing is wrong. Mark each question with what you honestly have — not what you hope:

  • Proven — real evidence.
  • Signal — early signs, not conclusive.
  • Untested — still an assumption.
  • No — you checked, and the answer is no.
1

Product–Market Fit

Proven

Does the market pull it from you?

The product solves a real pain badly enough that the market wants it without being pushed.

01

Users who try it keep coming back — without me prompting them.

Your answer
02

If I took it away, a real share of users would be genuinely upset — they treat it as a must-have, not a nice-to-have.

Your answer
03

Users pay, or refer others, without me pushing.

Your answer
2

Product–Channel Fit

Failing

Can you reach the market — repeatably and affordably?

There is a channel that puts the product in front of the right people again and again, at a cost the business can carry.

01

I have at least one channel that reaches my market again and again — not one-off hustle.

Your answer
02

What it costs to acquire a customer there is sustainable against what a customer is worth.

Your answer
03

The channel scales — more effort or spend yields more customers, not a wall.

Your answer
3

Product–Time Fit

Early signal

Why now?

The moment is right — recent enough that the market is ready, early enough that the space is not already taken.

01

Something shifted recently — technology, cost, behaviour, regulation — that makes now the moment.

Your answer
02

I am not paying to teach the market that the problem even exists.

Your answer
03

The space is not already crowded with well-funded competitors.

Your answer
4

Pivot or persist

MarketProvenChannelFailingTimeEarly signal

Pivot the channel — not the product.

The product works; the market pulls it. But there is no repeatable, affordable way to reach that market. This is the stage's most expensive mistake — founders feel the failure and rip up the product, the one thing that was working.

Keep the product. Hunt for a channel — and judge each one on the Profits-compass math, not on hope.

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